Language:English
San Diego Padres v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 55.09%1.82fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%55.01%55.12%56.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.731.741.7763.29%57.66%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 44.91%2.23fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +0.856%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.25%44.99%44.88%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.112.102.2752.08%47.30%47.62%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 55.09%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 44.91%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +1.94%E +0.856%K +1.53%G +0.030% | 1.9% | 2026-09-30 01:37 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +1.49%E +0.661%K +1.19%G +0.018% | 1.7% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.146%E +0.066%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-30 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV +0.146%E +0.066%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV +0.146%E +0.066%K +0.119%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.303%E -0.136%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -5.24%E -3.05%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -0.303%E -0.136%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-30 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.20%E -0.546%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-29 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.79%E -3.39%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.20%E -0.546%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-30 01:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.65%E -0.754%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-29 23:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.24%E -3.05%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.55%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-29 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.24%E -3.05%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 02:03 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.45%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.45%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-30 00:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.45%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.45%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-29 23:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.45%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.45%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 00:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.79%E -3.39%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.45%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.79%E -3.39%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.90%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 01:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.34%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 23:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 23:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.24%E -3.05%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 00:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.24%E -3.05%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 21:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 22:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 01:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.79%E -3.39%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 01:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.34%E -3.73%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -7.45%E -4.43%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 01:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 01:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 02:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -8.55%E -5.15%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -11.53%E -5.85%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-30 01:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.86%EV -12.96%E -8.20%K -22.34%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.14%EV -13.78%E -7.17%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-09-30 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-30 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-30 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-30 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-09-30 02:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 2.3% | 2026-09-30 01:50 |