Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 02:15 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 1–0 Atlanta Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 50.97%1.96fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.93%50.98%52.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9355.56%53.39%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 49.03%2.04fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.719%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.19%49.07%49.02%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.952.0753.48%51.36%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 50.97%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 49.03%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV +1.49%E +0.719%K +1.39%G +0.021%2.4%2026-06-23 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV +0.998%E +0.484%K +0.941%G +0.009%2.6%2026-06-23 02:09
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.45%E -0.723%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.45%E -0.723%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 02:09
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.62%E -0.842%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.94%E -0.972%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-23 02:09
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.94%E -0.972%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 02:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.94%E -0.972%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 02:09
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.94%E -0.972%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.94%E -0.972%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.94%E -0.972%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 02:09
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -7.23%E -3.97%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -2.43%E -1.22%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 02:09
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.62%E -0.842%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.92%E -1.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 02:09
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.92%E -1.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.92%E -1.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 02:09
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.92%E -1.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 02:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-23 02:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.21%E -3.38%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 02:08
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-23 02:09
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 02:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 02:09
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 02:09
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 02:09
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 02:09
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 02:09
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 02:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 02:09
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 02:09
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 02:09
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.25%E -4.58%K -10.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 02:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -3.66%E -1.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 02:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.89%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.22%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.38%E -2.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -1.62%E -0.842%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.19%E -2.79%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.87%E -3.06%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 02:09
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 02:09
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 02:08
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 02:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 02:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 02:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.68%E -2.50%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.21%E -3.38%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 02:09
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.70%E -3.08%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.34%E -3.88%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 02:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -3.15%E -1.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -7.83%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 02:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.23%E -3.97%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.83%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 02:06
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 02:09
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 02:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12%0.4%2026-06-23 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-06-23 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-06-23 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-06-23 02:10
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-23 02:10
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-23 02:10
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-23 02:09
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-06-23 02:09
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-06-23 02:10
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-06-23 02:10