Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 01:41 UTC

Final: San Diego Padres 2–0 Athletics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Padres (Local)

Prediction 45.64%2.19fair odd
EV +0.860%
Edge +0.389%
Kelly +0.711%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.33%45.68%45.74%46.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.092.2150.00%47.89%47.85%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 54.36%1.84fair odd
EV +0.570%
Edge +0.308%
Kelly +0.670%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.02%54.32%54.26%55.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.761.8558.82%56.70%56.82%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 45.64%; Athletics (Visit): 54.36%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.860%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV +0.860%E +0.389%K +0.711%G +0.006%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -4.32%E -2.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.053%E -0.024%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -4.32%E -2.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.053%E -0.024%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -4.32%E -2.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 01:40
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -0.509%E -0.234%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -2.69%E -1.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-24 01:39
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.509%E -0.234%K -0.432%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 01:30
BetAnything🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -0.966%E -0.445%K -0.825%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.24%E -1.82%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-24 01:29
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.88%E -0.874%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.15%E -1.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-24 00:00
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.88%E -0.874%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.41%E -3.11%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 01:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.88%E -0.874%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.41%E -3.11%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 01:39
Bovada🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.79%E -1.31%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.41%E -3.11%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 01:37
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 01:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.24%E -1.82%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 01:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 00:29
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 01:39
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 22:49
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 01:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 01:40
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 01:40
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 01:40
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 01:29
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 01:39
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.41%E -3.11%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 01:10
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.41%E -3.11%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 01:40
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 01:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 01:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 01:29
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 01:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.50%E -3.78%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 01:40
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.16%E -1.98%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.04%E -4.12%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 01:40
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -4.62%E -2.21%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV +0.570%E +0.308%K +0.670%G +0.004%1.9%2026-05-24 00:19
DraftKings🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.62%E -2.21%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.32%E -2.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 01:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -1.60%E -0.887%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 00:29
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.69%E -1.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 22:59
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.32%E -2.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 01:29
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.32%E -2.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 01:29
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.07%E -2.44%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.53%E -2.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.15%E -1.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.53%E -2.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.15%E -1.19%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 00:30
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.53%E -2.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.32%E -2.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 01:29
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.53%E -2.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.32%E -2.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 01:28
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 23:00
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.69%E -1.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 00:30
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.69%E -1.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.69%E -1.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 00:30
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.69%E -1.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 00:29
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.69%E -1.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 00:29
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.69%E -1.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 00:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.69%E -1.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 00:29
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -2.69%E -1.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 00:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.32%E -2.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 00:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.41%E -3.11%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 01:38
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 01:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.44%E -3.14%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.90%E -3.38%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.24%E -1.82%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.90%E -3.38%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.24%E -1.82%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 00:09
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.90%E -3.38%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.24%E -1.82%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 00:09
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.90%E -3.38%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.24%E -1.82%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.81%E -3.87%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.69%E -1.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 00:17
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.78%E -2.14%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 01:29
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.72%E -4.36%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.87%E -2.78%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-05-24 01:39
ProphetX2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-05-24 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-24 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-24 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-05-24 01:40
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-24 00:09
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-23 23:39
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-24 01:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-05-24 00:39
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-05-24 01:40