Language:English
San Diego Padres v Arizona Diamondbacks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego Padres (Local)
Prediction 41.78%2.39fair odd
EV +0.685%
Edge +0.284%
Kelly +0.486%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.64%41.74%41.77%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.282.4146.51%43.87%43.86%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)
Prediction 58.22%1.72fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.26%58.23%59.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.641.7064.52%61.09%60.98%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Padres (Local): 41.78%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 58.22%. For San Diego Padres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.685%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV +0.685%E +0.284%K +0.486%G +0.003% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.151%E -0.063%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.151%E -0.063%K -0.109%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -0.569%E -0.239%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -1.40%E -0.595%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.19%E -1.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.40%E -0.595%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-27 18:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.82%E -0.775%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.77%E -1.66%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-27 18:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.82%E -0.775%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.10%E -3.13%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.82%E -0.775%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.82%E -0.775%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.82%E -0.775%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.82%E -0.775%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -3.49%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.02%E -0.601%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-27 17:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.49%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.77%E -1.66%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 18:47 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.68%E -3.51%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.68%E -3.51%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.68%E -3.51%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.68%E -3.51%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 16:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.91%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.84%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.33%E -1.89%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.75%E -2.08%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.75%E -2.08%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.10%E -3.13%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.16%E -2.27%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.16%E -2.27%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.10%E -3.13%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 16:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.16%E -2.27%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.10%E -3.13%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 16:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -5.16%E -2.27%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -7.43%E -4.67%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.77%E -1.66%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.77%E -1.66%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.77%E -1.66%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.77%E -1.66%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.77%E -1.66%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.35%E -2.02%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.35%E -2.02%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.35%E -2.02%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 17:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.68%E -3.51%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.68%E -3.51%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 16:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.68%E -3.51%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.84%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-27 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.00%E -2.67%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.76%E -6.29%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.42%E -2.86%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.84%E -3.07%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -7.67%E -3.47%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -7.43%E -4.67%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-27 18:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.09%E -3.68%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.77%E -1.66%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.09%E -3.68%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.77%E -1.66%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.09%E -3.68%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.09%E -3.68%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.52%E -2.75%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.09%E -3.68%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.68%E -3.51%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.09%E -3.68%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.84%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-27 18:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.09%E -3.68%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.84%E -4.28%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -8.51%E -3.88%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.18%E -4.73%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -9.17%E -5.88%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-27 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-09-27 19:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 18:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92% | 1.0% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-09-27 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 1.2% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 1.6% | 2026-09-27 17:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.6% | 2026-09-27 18:45 |