Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Washington Nationals

Początek: 2026-04-15 22:41 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Pittsburgh Pirates 2–0 Washington Nationals

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 60.73%1.65kurs godziwy
EV -1.61%
Przewaga -0.994%
Kelly -2.60%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
59.43%60.88%60.73%63.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.561.571.6266.67%64.27%63.69%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Washington Nationals (Goście)

Prognoza 39.27%2.55kurs godziwy
EV +3.27%
Przewaga +1.24%
Kelly +2.01%
Wzrost +0.066%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.74%39.12%39.27%40.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.472.452.6343.48%40.41%40.82%38.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Pittsburgh Pirates (Gospodarze): 60.73%; Washington Nationals (Goście): 39.27%. Dla wyniku Washington Nationals (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.55. 17 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.63, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.27%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +3.27%E +1.24%K +2.01%G +0.066%3.0%2026-04-15 20:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:05
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +0.128%E +0.050%K +0.083%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 22:24
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +0.128%E +0.050%K +0.083%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-15 22:03
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.128%E +0.050%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.128%E +0.050%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:04
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.128%E +0.050%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:04
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.128%E +0.050%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:04
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 22:25
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 22:19
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 02:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -1.61%E -0.994%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -2.23%E -0.895%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.23%E -0.895%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.23%E -0.895%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 22:25
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.61%E -0.994%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 22:19
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -3.41%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-15 22:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.41%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 22:33
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:29
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 12:39
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 12:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 12:39
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 22:20
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:29
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 22:28
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:23
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 22:39
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 22:39
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 22:25
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 22:39
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 22:24
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:38
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 22:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 22:29
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:39
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.94%E -2.93%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.94%E -2.93%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 22:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 22:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-15 22:29
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 22:39
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (10)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%0.1%2026-04-15 22:39
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-15 22:39
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-15 22:40
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.48%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.52%1.0%2026-04-15 22:39
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-15 22:34
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-15 17:40
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-04-15 22:39