مدرسة الاحتمالات

Pittsburgh Pirates v Washington Nationals

البداية: 2026-04-15 22:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pittsburgh Pirates 2–0 Washington Nationals

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.73%1.65السعر العادل
EV -1.61%
الأفضلية -0.994%
Kelly -2.60%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.43%60.88%60.73%63.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.561.571.6266.67%64.27%63.69%61.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Washington Nationals (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.27%2.55السعر العادل
EV +3.27%
الأفضلية +1.24%
Kelly +2.01%
النمو +0.066%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.74%39.12%39.27%40.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.472.452.6343.48%40.41%40.82%38.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV +3.27%E +1.24%K +2.01%G +0.066%3.0%2026-04-15 20:39
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:05
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.29%E -5.49%K -16.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.09%E +0.804%K +1.31%G +0.027%4.7%2026-04-15 22:04
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +0.128%E +0.050%K +0.083%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 22:24
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +0.128%E +0.050%K +0.083%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-15 22:03
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.128%E +0.050%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:04
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.128%E +0.050%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:04
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.128%E +0.050%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:04
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.90%E -5.93%K -17.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.128%E +0.050%K +0.083%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 22:04
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 22:25
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 22:19
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 02:04
Dabble (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.68%E -5.06%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.84%E -0.734%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 22:39
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -1.61%E -0.994%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -2.23%E -0.895%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-15 22:39
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.23%E -0.895%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 22:25
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.23%E -0.895%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-15 22:25
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.61%E -0.994%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.62%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 22:19
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.22%E -1.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -3.41%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-15 22:14
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.41%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 22:33
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:25
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:04
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:29
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 12:39
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 12:40
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 12:39
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 22:19
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 22:19
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.80%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 22:20
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 22:29
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.43%E -2.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 22:28
Bovada1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:23
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 22:39
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.98%E -2.06%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 22:39
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 22:25
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 22:39
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 22:24
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:14
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:34
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:39
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 22:38
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.25%E -3.37%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.86%E -3.78%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.76%E -2.40%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 22:29
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:39
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.94%E -2.93%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 22:25
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.04%E -2.56%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.94%E -2.93%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 22:24
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.47%E -4.20%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-15 22:39
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.08%E -4.63%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.73%E -3.29%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-15 22:29
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.65%E -2.96%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.69%E -4.21%K -7.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 22:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.03%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.97%0.1%2026-04-15 22:39
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-15 22:39
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-04-15 22:40
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.48%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.52%1.0%2026-04-15 22:39
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-15 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-15 22:34
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-15 17:40
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-04-15 22:39