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Pittsburgh Pirates v Tampa Bay Rays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 49.70%2.01fair odd
EV -0.597%
Edge -0.299%
Kelly -0.597%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%49.74%50.00%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.921.912.0054.05%52.21%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)
Prediction 50.30%1.99fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.983%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%50.26%50.00%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.911.911.9554.05%52.46%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 49.70%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 50.30%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -0.597%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -0.597%E -0.299%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-19 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.597%E -0.299%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.597%E -0.299%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.597%E -0.299%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 17:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.597%E -0.299%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.597%E -0.299%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.09%E -0.550%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.09%E -1.06%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -5.44%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.08%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.08%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.08%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.08%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 17:08 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.08%E -1.58%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.58%E -1.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.44%E -3.46%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 17:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.08%E -2.11%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.08%E -2.11%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-19 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.57%E -2.38%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -1.92%E -0.983%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.94%E -2.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.94%E -2.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.07%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 17:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -1.92%E -0.983%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 04:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.43%E -2.33%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.06%E -3.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.06%E -3.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.61%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.44%E -2.89%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.06%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.92%E -0.983%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.06%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.92%E -0.983%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-19 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -7.06%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -7.06%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.42%E -1.25%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.06%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.93%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.18%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.92%E -0.983%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.92%E -0.983%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.92%E -1.51%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.05%E -4.35%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 17:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 0.0% | 2026-04-19 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-19 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.87% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.13% | 0.8% | 2026-04-19 17:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-19 17:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 17:34 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-04-19 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00% | 3.1% | 2026-04-19 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.49% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.51% | 9.7% | 2026-04-19 17:35 |