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Pittsburgh Pirates v Tampa Bay Rays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 53.02%1.89fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.668%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.31%53.04%53.22%55.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.791.781.9157.80%55.92%56.18%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)
Prediction 46.98%2.13fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.680%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.85%46.96%46.78%48.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1651.28%48.72%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 53.02%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 46.98%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.68%E -3.79%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV +1.47%E +0.680%K +1.27%G +0.019% | 3.1% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV +0.529%E +0.247%K +0.464%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV +0.529%E +0.247%K +0.464%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.411%E -0.194%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.411%E -0.194%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.411%E -0.194%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.411%E -0.194%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.411%E -0.194%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.411%E -0.194%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.411%E -0.194%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.411%E -0.194%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.411%E -0.194%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.411%E -0.194%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.411%E -0.194%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -8.27%E -4.78%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -0.411%E -0.194%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.35%E -0.643%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 21:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.09%E -2.84%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.68%E -3.79%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -2.76%E -1.33%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.76%E -1.33%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -0.315%E -0.168%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-17 22:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.845%E -0.452%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 22:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.845%E -0.452%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 22:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 21:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 14:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.68%E -3.79%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 22:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.68%E -3.79%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 17:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.74%E -4.45%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -0.315%E -0.168%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -4.64%E -2.29%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -0.315%E -0.168%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -4.64%E -2.29%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -0.315%E -0.168%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -4.64%E -2.29%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV +1.28%E +0.668%K +1.40%G +0.018% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.91%E -1.03%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 22:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 21:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 22:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.68%E -3.79%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 20:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 22:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.99%E -3.53%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 22:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -1.38%E -0.739%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -7.93%E -4.04%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 22:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 21:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.62% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.38% | 0.3% | 2026-04-17 22:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-17 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 22:40 |