A Escola das Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-06-23 22:41 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 2–3 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 45.47%2.20odd justa
EV +0.026%
Vantagem +0.012%
Kelly +0.022%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%45.43%45.44%46.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.59%47.62%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 54.53%1.83odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -2.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.48%54.57%54.56%55.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.06%57.14%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.026%E +0.012%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-23 21:10
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.026%E +0.012%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:10
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.428%E -0.196%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-23 22:39
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.883%E -0.405%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 22:20
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -0.883%E -0.405%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-23 22:10
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.34%E -0.616%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:40
LowVig.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.34%E -0.616%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:40
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.79%E -0.830%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-23 22:10
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 21:00
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 21:09
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 21:50
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 22:10
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 19:40
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 22:30
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-23 20:40
SportsBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.07%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 19:40
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 21:10
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 20:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 20:40
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 16:40
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 20:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:10
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 20:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 20:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:10
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:50
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:00
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 17:50
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 21:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 17:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 17:50
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.20%E -3.61%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 19:00
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 16:20
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.97%E -2.38%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 22:10
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:40
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-23 22:40
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 20:20
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:40
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:40
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:40
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:40
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:00
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 22:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 22:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 20:20
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 13:10
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 20:40
Betclic (FR)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -8.61%E -4.28%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%0.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-23 21:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-23 22:20
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-06-23 22:40
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-06-23 22:39