La escuela de los momios

Pittsburgh Pirates v Seattle Mariners

Inicio: 2026-06-23 22:41 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 2–3 Seattle Mariners

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Predicción 45.47%2.20momio equitativo
EV +0.026%
Ventaja +0.012%
Kelly +0.022%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%45.43%45.44%46.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.59%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 54.53%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -2.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.48%54.57%54.56%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.06%57.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.026%E +0.012%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-23 21:10
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV +0.026%E +0.012%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:10
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.428%E -0.196%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-23 22:39
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.883%E -0.405%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-23 22:20
BetAnything2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -0.883%E -0.405%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-23 22:10
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.34%E -0.616%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:40
LowVig.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.34%E -0.616%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 22:40
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -1.79%E -0.830%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-23 22:10
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 21:00
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 21:09
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-23 21:50
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.25%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 22:10
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-23 19:40
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 22:30
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.39%E -1.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-23 20:40
SportsBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.07%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 19:40
MyBookie.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 21:10
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 20:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 20:40
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 16:40
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 20:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:10
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 20:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 20:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:10
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 21:50
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:00
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 17:50
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 21:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 17:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 17:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 17:50
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.20%E -3.61%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 19:00
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.29%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-23 16:20
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.97%E -2.38%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 22:10
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 22:40
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 20:40
DraftKings2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-23 22:40
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 20:20
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:40
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:40
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:40
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:40
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:00
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.88%E -2.84%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 20:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.02%E -2.28%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 22:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-23 22:40
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 20:20
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 13:10
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -7.25%E -3.55%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-23 20:40
Betclic (FR)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -8.61%E -4.28%K -8.53%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-23 22:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%0.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-06-23 22:40
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-23 21:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-23 22:20
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-06-23 22:40
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-06-23 22:40
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-06-23 22:40
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.0%2026-06-23 22:39