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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Pittsburgh Pirates v San Francisco Giants

Início: 2026-09-01 22:42 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 13–12 San Francisco Giants

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 60.42%1.66odd justa
EV -0.314%
Vantagem -0.191%
Kelly -0.484%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.14%60.13%60.45%61.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.511.581.571.6566.23%63.27%63.69%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Previsão 39.58%2.53odd justa
EV +0.545%
Vantagem +0.214%
Kelly +0.354%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.50%39.87%39.55%41.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.412.412.5444.44%41.57%41.58%39.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 60.42%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 39.58%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.53. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.54, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.545%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV +0.545%E +0.214%K +0.354%G +0.002%2.3%2026-09-01 22:20
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.149%E +0.059%K +0.097%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 22:16
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV +0.149%E +0.059%K +0.097%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-01 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV +0.149%E +0.059%K +0.097%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-01 22:20
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -1.04%E -0.416%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-01 20:28
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.43%E -0.576%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 22:30
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.43%E -0.576%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-01 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.43%E -0.576%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 22:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 21:34
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 22:20
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.54%E -2.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 22:20
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 22:20
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:38
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.21%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.21%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:15
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.314%E -0.191%K -0.484%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -4.60%E -1.91%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 11:35
theScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.52%E -0.934%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 20:00
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 22:35
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 21:35
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.54%E -2.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:35
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 20:20
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 07:02
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.54%E -2.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:39
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 20:14
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 20:20
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:50
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -0.918%E -0.560%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -7.77%E -3.33%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.16%E -3.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -8.77%E -5.81%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -8.16%E -3.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.96%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 22:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 22:30
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 22:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-09-01 22:30
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-09-01 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-09-01 22:35
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-09-01 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-09-01 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-09-01 22:40
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-01 21:35
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-01 22:40
BetOpenly◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%2.2%2026-09-01 22:39
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-09-01 22:00