مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)
+ نموذج جديدجميع النماذج

Pittsburgh Pirates v San Francisco Giants

البداية: 2026-09-01 22:42 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Pittsburgh Pirates 13–12 San Francisco Giants

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

66 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.42%1.66السعر العادل
EV -0.314%
الأفضلية -0.191%
Kelly -0.484%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.14%60.13%60.45%61.50%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.511.581.571.6566.23%63.27%63.69%60.61%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

San Francisco Giants (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.58%2.53السعر العادل
EV +0.545%
الأفضلية +0.214%
Kelly +0.354%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.50%39.87%39.55%41.86%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.412.412.5444.44%41.57%41.58%39.37%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Pittsburgh Pirates (المضيف)⁩: ⁨60.42%⁩؛ ⁨San Francisco Giants (الضيف)⁩: ⁨39.58%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨San Francisco Giants (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.53⁩. عرضت 4 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨2.54⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+0.545%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (66 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV +0.545%E +0.214%K +0.354%G +0.002%2.3%2026-09-01 22:20
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV +0.149%E +0.059%K +0.097%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-01 22:16
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV +0.149%E +0.059%K +0.097%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-01 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV +0.149%E +0.059%K +0.097%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-01 22:20
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -1.04%E -0.416%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-01 20:28
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.43%E -0.576%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-01 22:30
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.43%E -0.576%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-01 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.43%E -0.576%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-01 22:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-01 14:45
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 21:34
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 22:20
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 22:20
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -4.54%E -2.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 22:20
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.41%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 22:20
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:38
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -3.81%E -1.57%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.21%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.21%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:15
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -0.314%E -0.191%K -0.484%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -4.60%E -1.91%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-01 11:35
theScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.52%E -0.934%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 20:00
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.73%E -1.70%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 22:35
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-01 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.94%E -2.48%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 21:35
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.54%E -2.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:35
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 20:20
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 22:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 07:02
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.54%E -2.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 22:39
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.15%E -3.28%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.75%E -3.69%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.56%E -4.94%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 20:14
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.54%E -2.88%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.18%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 20:20
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 21:50
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.36%E -4.10%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -0.918%E -0.560%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -7.77%E -3.33%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -6.96%E -4.52%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -8.16%E -3.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.57%EV -8.77%E -5.81%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -8.16%E -3.52%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.96%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 22:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.13%E -1.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 22:30
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 22:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.34%E -2.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 22:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-09-01 22:30
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-09-01 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-09-01 22:35
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-09-01 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-09-01 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-09-01 22:40
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-01 21:35
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-09-01 22:40
BetOpenly◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%2.2%2026-09-01 22:39
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%2.3%2026-09-01 22:00