Language:English
Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 53.41%1.87fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.641%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.81%53.41%53.25%53.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.801.8557.14%55.56%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)
Prediction 46.59%2.15fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.25%46.59%46.75%47.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.052.052.0950.00%48.82%48.78%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.19%E -0.641%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.57%E -1.72%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-10 23:49 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.25%E -1.23%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.63%E -1.26%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-10 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.86%E -2.14%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 23:49 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.86%E -2.14%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 23:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.86%E -2.14%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 23:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.86%E -2.14%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-10 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.86%E -2.14%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 23:50 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.86%E -2.14%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.90%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 23:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.39%E -2.45%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.10%E -1.49%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-10 23:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.92%E -2.77%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.50%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-10 23:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.53%E -3.73%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.83%E -3.41%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 00:24 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 00:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02% | 3.5% | 2026-07-11 00:17 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26% | 7.4% | 2026-07-11 00:30 |