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Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 45.51%2.20fair odd
EV +0.116%
Edge +0.053%
Kelly +0.096%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.44%45.63%45.60%46.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.102.102.2050.51%47.66%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)
Prediction 54.49%1.84fair odd
EV -0.278%
Edge -0.152%
Kelly -0.335%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.19%54.37%54.40%56.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.751.751.8360.24%57.17%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 45.51%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 54.49%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.197. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.200, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.116%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +0.116%E +0.053%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.91%E -4.68%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.339%E -0.155%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -3.00%E -1.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-16 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.25%E -0.576%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-16 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.25%E -0.576%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.00%E -1.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.25%E -0.576%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -3.00%E -1.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -1.70%E -0.789%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.46%E -1.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.16%E -1.00%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.16%E -1.00%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.16%E -1.00%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.16%E -1.00%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.16%E -1.00%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.16%E -1.00%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.07%E -1.44%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.52%E -1.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.52%E -1.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.52%E -1.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.52%E -1.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.52%E -1.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.52%E -1.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.52%E -1.66%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.278%E -0.152%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 14:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 20:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 20:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.09%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.09%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.09%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.09%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-16 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.09%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 22:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 21:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 21:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 21:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.43%E -2.11%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.36%E -4.33%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 20:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.89%E -2.34%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.00%E -1.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 22:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.57%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.35%E -2.57%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.80%E -2.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -1.91%E -1.06%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.80%E -2.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.09%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 20:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.80%E -2.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 21:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.71%E -3.27%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.91%E -1.06%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.71%E -3.27%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.18%E -2.98%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.71%E -3.27%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.27%E -3.65%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.17%E -3.51%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.00%E -1.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -8.08%E -4.00%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -8.45%E -5.03%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-16 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.99%E -4.49%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.09%E -2.33%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.99%E -4.49%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.99%E -4.49%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.99%E -4.49%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.99%E -4.49%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -9.90%E -5.00%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -9.54%E -5.75%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 22:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 21:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.2% | 2026-09-16 22:30 |