The School of Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-07-11 16:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prediction 53.08%1.88fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.680%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%53.02%53.13%53.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.801.8657%56%56%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 46.92%2.13fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%46.98%46.87%48.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.022.022.0852%50%50%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.27%E -0.680%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.88%E -1.39%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 04:34
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.86%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 08:34
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.86%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 08:29
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.86%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 08:29
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.86%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 06:34
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.86%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 07:33
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.86%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 08:29
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.86%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 08:29
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.86%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 08:29
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.86%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 08:29
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.86%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 08:29
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.86%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 08:29
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.86%E -1.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.51%E -4.37%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 07:14
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.39%E -1.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.10%E -3.59%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.39%E -1.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.10%E -3.59%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 08:29
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.39%E -1.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.57%E -3.84%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 08:35
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.39%E -1.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.57%E -3.84%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 08:35
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.45%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 07:34
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.45%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 04:36
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.45%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 04:39
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.45%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 05:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.45%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 06:29
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.45%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.29%E -2.10%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 07:34
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.45%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.29%E -2.10%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 04:39
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.45%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 04:39
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.45%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 07:34
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.45%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 04:39
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.45%E -2.47%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 07:33
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.98%E -2.78%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.41%E -1.16%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 04:34
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.98%E -2.78%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 04:40
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.98%E -2.78%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.23%E -2.59%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 04:39
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -4.98%E -2.78%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -8.98%E -4.63%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 08:30
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.51%E -3.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 04:34
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.51%E -3.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 04:40
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.51%E -3.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.70%E -2.83%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 07:33
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.51%E -3.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 04:34
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.57%E -3.74%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 04:39
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.57%E -3.74%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 06:20
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.57%E -3.74%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.64%E -3.33%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 07:34
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.10%E -4.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 04:34
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.10%E -4.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 04:39
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.10%E -4.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 04:39
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.10%E -4.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.82%E -1.86%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 04:39
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.10%E -4.06%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.17%E -3.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 07:32
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%EV -46.39%E -45.93%K -4638.62%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%EV -52.61%E -52.09%K -5261.38%G +0.000%98.0%2026-07-11 07:06
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-11 07:09
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%1.9%2026-07-11 07:34
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92%2.6%2026-07-11 08:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%5.1%2026-07-11 07:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%5.1%2026-07-11 07:45
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%7.2%2026-07-11 07:50
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%10.0%2026-07-11 07:34
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 52.63%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%11.1%2026-07-11 06:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-11 06:04