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Pittsburgh Pirates v Milwaukee Brewers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 51.33%1.95fair odd
EV +0.089%
Edge +0.046%
Kelly +0.094%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.36%51.32%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.851.9555.56%53.86%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)
Prediction 48.67%2.05fair odd
EV -0.709%
Edge -0.348%
Kelly -0.682%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.64%48.68%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.961.962.0452.63%50.99%51.02%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 51.33%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 48.67%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.948. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.950, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.089%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV +0.089%E +0.046%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| BetAnything | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -0.424%E -0.218%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.45%E -0.755%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.14%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.45%E -0.755%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.14%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| GTbets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.45%E -0.755%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -3.14%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 15:19 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 16:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 15:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.20%E -0.589%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-11 15:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -0.709%E -0.348%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-11 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 15:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 13:35 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 15:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 13:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.02%E -2.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.53%E -2.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.63%E -1.83%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 14:09 |
| Bovada | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.53%E -2.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.58%E -2.87%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.63%E -1.83%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 14:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| ReBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 16:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 15:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.04%E -2.73%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 15:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.56%E -3.02%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 14:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.56%E -3.02%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 14:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.56%E -3.02%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.56%E -3.02%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.60%E -2.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.56%E -3.02%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.56%E -3.02%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.55%E -3.41%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 15:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 15:49 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 14:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.09%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.07%E -3.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.04%E -3.68%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 13:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.58%E -3.62%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.06%E -3.14%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 15:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.10%E -3.92%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.52%E -3.96%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 15:55 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 04:39 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 14:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.61%E -4.23%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-07-11 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 16:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.4% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-07-11 15:55 |
| BetOpenly | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.32% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.68% | 3.3% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 16:04 |