默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Miami Marlins

开赛时间: 2026-06-13 20:06 UTC

最终结果: Pittsburgh Pirates 3–2 Miami Marlins

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)

预测 50.88%1.97公平赔率
EV -1.79%
优势 -0.930%
Kelly -1.93%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%50.90%50.89%52.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.871.871.9355.56%53.53%53.48%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami Marlins (客队)

预测 49.12%2.04公平赔率
EV -0.785%
优势 -0.389%
Kelly -0.770%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
47.75%49.10%49.11%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.881.951.952.0253.19%51.32%51.28%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pittsburgh Pirates (主队):50.88%;Miami Marlins (客队):49.12%。 对于“Miami Marlins (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.04。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.02,期望值为-0.785%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.79%E -0.930%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-13 19:31
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.79%E -0.930%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.75%E -1.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.79%E -0.930%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-13 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.79%E -0.930%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-13 19:00
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.79%E -0.930%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-13 19:00
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.79%E -0.930%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-13 19:40
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 19:58
Everygame🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 17:30
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-13 19:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 20:01
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-13 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 19:10
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 19:09
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 19:20
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.70%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:30
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.70%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -0.785%E -0.389%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-13 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 19:30
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 19:10
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 19:31
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 20:01
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 20:00
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 19:00
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.75%E -1.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.70%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.70%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 19:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 20:00
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 20:00
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 19:58
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:19
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 19:20
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 19:20
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.39%E -4.06%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.39%E -4.06%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 19:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 17:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-06-13 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-13 17:20
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-13 16:00
Novig1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-06-13 20:00
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-06-13 20:00
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-06-13 18:30
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%4.0%2026-06-13 20:00