La scuola delle quote

Pittsburgh Pirates v Miami Marlins

Inizio: 2026-06-13 20:06 UTC

Finale: Pittsburgh Pirates 3–2 Miami Marlins

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Casa)

Previsione 50.88%1.97quota equa
EV -1.79%
Vantaggio -0.930%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%50.90%50.89%52.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.871.871.9355.56%53.53%53.48%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.12%2.04quota equa
EV -0.785%
Vantaggio -0.389%
Kelly -0.770%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.75%49.10%49.11%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.951.952.0253.19%51.32%51.28%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.79%E -0.930%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-13 19:31
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.79%E -0.930%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.75%E -1.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.79%E -0.930%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-13 19:00
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.79%E -0.930%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-13 19:00
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.79%E -0.930%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-13 19:00
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.79%E -0.930%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-13 19:40
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 19:58
Everygame1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.30%E -1.20%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.26%E -1.13%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 17:30
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-13 19:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 18:50
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 20:01
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -1.77%E -0.884%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-13 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 19:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:20
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.83%E -2.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 19:09
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-13 19:50
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 19:20
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 19:30
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 19:20
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.70%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:30
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.34%E -2.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.70%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 20:00
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -0.785%E -0.389%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-13 19:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 19:30
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 18:00
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 19:20
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 19:10
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 19:31
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 20:01
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 20:00
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 19:00
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.85%E -2.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 19:10
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.75%E -1.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 19:20
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.70%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 19:50
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.36%E -2.88%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.70%E -2.97%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 19:20
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 20:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 20:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 18:40
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 18:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.87%E -3.17%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 19:58
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.37%E -3.46%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 19:10
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:20
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 19:19
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 19:20
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 19:20
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 19:20
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.39%E -4.06%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.71%E -2.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 19:20
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.39%E -4.06%K -9.01%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 19:38
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.41%E -4.67%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 17:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-06-13 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-06-13 19:50
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-13 17:20
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-06-13 16:00
Novig1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-06-13 20:00
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-06-13 20:00
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-06-13 18:30
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%4.0%2026-06-13 20:00