默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Detroit Tigers

开赛时间: 2026-08-17 23:06 UTC

最终结果: Pittsburgh Pirates 5–8 Detroit Tigers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)

预测 49.42%2.02公平赔率
EV -1.15%
优势 -0.576%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
47.78%49.47%49.40%51.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.941.942.0054.05%51.63%51.55%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Detroit Tigers (客队)

预测 50.58%1.98公平赔率
EV +0.645%
优势 +0.324%
Kelly +0.652%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 1.99

博彩公司预测分布
48.94%50.53%50.60%52.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.881.871.9955.56%53.11%53.48%50.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pittsburgh Pirates (主队):49.42%;Detroit Tigers (客队):50.58%。 对于“Detroit Tigers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.98。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.99,对应+0.645%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV +0.645%E +0.324%K +0.652%G +0.004%2.1%2026-08-17 21:24
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.366%E -0.186%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 19:16
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.63%E -1.34%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.38%E -0.706%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-17 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.38%E -0.706%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 18:44
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.38%E -0.706%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 15:39
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.38%E -0.706%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 22:44
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.15%E -0.576%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.39%E -1.24%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-17 22:59
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.15%E -0.576%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.39%E -1.24%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-17 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.39%E -1.24%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 20:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.65%E -0.827%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.65%E -0.827%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 23:04
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.65%E -0.827%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%EV -2.14%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 22:53
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.15%E -0.576%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 23:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:04
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.11%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 15:39
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.11%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.41%E -2.33%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:04
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.63%E -1.34%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.63%E -1.34%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 22:54
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:04
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.11%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.11%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 22:54
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 23:04
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:04
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:04
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.58%E -4.05%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.08%E -3.77%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.93%E -3.19%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 22:59
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:05
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:54
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:54
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:54
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:54
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 23:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 23:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 23:04
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 22:50
ReBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 23:04
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.94%E -3.77%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.94%E -3.77%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -8.07%E -4.34%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -6.94%E -3.77%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 22:57
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.15%E -0.576%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 23:04
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.08%E -3.77%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.96%E -4.98%K -11.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 22:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88%0.3%2026-08-17 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-08-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-08-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-08-17 23:00
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-17 22:55
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-17 22:54
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-17 23:05
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-08-17 23:05
Smarkets◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%2.6%2026-08-17 23:00
BetOpenly◎1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%3.6%2026-08-17 22:59