Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-08-17 23:06 UTC

Final: Pittsburgh Pirates 5–8 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 49.42%2.02odd justa
EV -1.15%
Vantagem -0.576%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.78%49.47%49.40%51.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.941.942.0054.05%51.63%51.55%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 50.58%1.98odd justa
EV +0.645%
Vantagem +0.324%
Kelly +0.652%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.94%50.53%50.60%52.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.871.9955.56%53.11%53.48%50.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 49.42%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 50.58%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.98. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.99, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.645%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV +0.645%E +0.324%K +0.652%G +0.004%2.1%2026-08-17 21:24
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -0.366%E -0.186%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 19:16
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.63%E -1.34%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.38%E -0.706%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-17 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.38%E -0.706%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 18:44
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.38%E -0.706%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 15:39
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.38%E -0.706%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 22:44
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.15%E -0.576%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.39%E -1.24%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-17 22:59
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.15%E -0.576%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.39%E -1.24%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-17 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.39%E -1.24%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 20:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.65%E -0.827%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.65%E -0.827%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 23:04
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.65%E -0.827%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%EV -2.14%E -1.08%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-17 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.89%E -1.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 22:53
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.15%E -0.576%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 23:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.40%E -1.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:04
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 22:59
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.11%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 15:39
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.11%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.41%E -2.33%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:04
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.63%E -1.34%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.63%E -1.34%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 22:54
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:04
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.11%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.11%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.92%E -2.62%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.13%E -1.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 22:54
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 23:04
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:04
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:04
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.58%E -4.05%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.42%E -2.90%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.08%E -3.77%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.93%E -3.19%K -6.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 22:59
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:05
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:54
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:54
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:54
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:54
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.12%E -2.12%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 22:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 23:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 23:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 23:04
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 22:50
ReBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 23:04
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.44%E -3.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.94%E -3.77%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -4.61%E -2.39%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.94%E -3.77%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -8.07%E -4.34%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -6.94%E -3.77%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 22:57
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.15%E -0.576%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.45%E -4.07%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 23:04
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.08%E -3.77%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.96%E -4.98%K -11.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 22:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88%0.3%2026-08-17 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-08-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-08-17 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-08-17 23:00
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-17 22:55
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-17 22:54
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-17 23:05
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-08-17 23:05
Smarkets◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%2.6%2026-08-17 23:00
BetOpenly◎1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%3.6%2026-08-17 22:59