默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Detroit Tigers

开赛时间: 2026-08-18 22:41 UTC

最终结果: Pittsburgh Pirates 4–1 Detroit Tigers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)

预测 58.83%1.70公平赔率
EV -1.76%
优势 -1.05%
Kelly -2.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.85%58.64%58.93%59.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.641.641.6763.69%61.16%60.98%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Detroit Tigers (客队)

预测 41.17%2.43公平赔率
EV -0.361%
优势 -0.149%
Kelly -0.254%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.42

博彩公司预测分布
40.45%41.36%41.07%43.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.182.312.302.4245.87%43.38%43.48%41.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pittsburgh Pirates (主队):58.83%;Detroit Tigers (客队):41.17%。 对于“Detroit Tigers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.43。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.42,期望值为-0.361%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.18%E -0.494%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-18 19:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.18%E -0.494%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-18 22:40
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.42%E -1.02%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.83%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.83%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 22:40
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.24%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-18 22:21
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -6.54%E -2.88%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:00
Caesars🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.21%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.79%EV -0.773%E -0.321%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-18 21:39
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -1.18%E -0.494%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-18 22:40
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.60%E -0.668%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 22:20
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.65%E -1.56%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.361%E -0.149%K -0.254%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-18 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.42%E -1.02%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 19:24
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.42%E -1.02%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 22:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.89%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 22:28
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 21:50
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 21:50
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 21:50
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 21:50
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 21:50
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 22:20
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 22:33
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 22:33
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 21:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.24%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 20:59
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 22:15
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 20:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.01%E -0.844%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 17:55
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.24%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:25
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.24%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:10
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.65%E -1.56%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 22:39
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 21:00
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 22:25
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 20:59
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 21:50
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.42%E -1.02%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.42%E -1.02%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:10
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.24%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.07%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 19:45
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.07%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.07%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.89%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.88%E -3.67%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.88%E -3.67%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.05%E -4.46%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 22:23
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.64%E -4.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 20:14
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -7.64%E -4.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -10.24%E -4.70%K -8.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-18 21:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%-0.0%2026-08-18 22:35
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-18 21:55
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-18 21:55
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-18 19:10
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%2.6%2026-08-18 22:40
ProphetX◎1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%5.0%2026-08-18 22:40