Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Detroit Tigers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-18 22:41 UTC

Score final : Pittsburgh Pirates 4–1 Detroit Tigers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 58.83%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.64%58.93%59.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.641.6763.69%61.16%60.98%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.17%2.43cote équitable
EV -0.361%
Avantage -0.149%
Kelly -0.254%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.45%41.36%41.07%43.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.182.312.302.4245.87%43.38%43.48%41.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pittsburgh Pirates (Local) : 58.83% ; Detroit Tigers (Visiteur) : 41.17%. Pour Detroit Tigers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.43. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.42, pour une espérance de -0.361% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.18%E -0.494%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-18 19:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.18%E -0.494%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-18 22:40
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.42%E -1.02%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.83%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.83%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 22:40
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.24%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-18 22:21
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -6.54%E -2.88%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 22:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.76%E -1.05%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 22:00
Caesars🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.21%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.79%EV -0.773%E -0.321%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-18 21:39
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -1.18%E -0.494%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-18 22:40
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.60%E -0.668%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-18 22:20
BetAnything🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.65%E -1.56%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:50
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.35%E -1.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.361%E -0.149%K -0.254%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-18 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.42%E -1.02%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 19:24
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.42%E -1.02%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-18 22:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.89%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 22:28
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 21:50
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 21:50
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 21:50
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 21:50
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.13%E -2.69%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 21:50
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 22:20
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 22:33
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.94%E -1.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 22:33
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 21:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.52%E -2.15%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.42%E -4.28%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.24%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 20:59
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 22:15
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.11%E -2.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 20:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.01%E -0.844%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 17:55
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.24%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:25
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.24%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:10
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.65%E -1.56%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-18 22:39
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 21:00
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 22:25
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 20:59
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.70%E -2.90%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 21:50
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.42%E -1.02%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.42%E -1.02%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-18 22:10
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.24%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-18 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.07%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 19:45
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.07%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.07%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 22:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.89%E -2.12%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.29%E -3.28%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.88%E -3.67%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.88%E -3.67%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.36%E -3.27%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.05%E -4.46%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 22:23
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.64%E -4.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.30%E -2.31%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 20:14
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -7.64%E -4.87%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -10.24%E -4.70%K -8.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-18 21:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.18%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.82%-0.0%2026-08-18 22:35
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-18 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-18 21:55
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-18 21:55
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-18 19:10
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-08-18 22:40
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%2.6%2026-08-18 22:40
ProphetX◎1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%5.0%2026-08-18 22:40