Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.62
assuming max odds 2.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 60.57%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 39.43%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.53, with an expected value of -0.236%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.21%E -0.890%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -3.00%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-14 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -3.00%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-14 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -3.00%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-14 16:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -1.88%E -1.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.49%E -1.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.42%E -0.568%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 12:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.49%E -1.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.21%E -0.890%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-14 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.49%E -1.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-14 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.49%E -1.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.12%E -3.49%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.49%E -1.54%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.12%E -3.49%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.236%E -0.093%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-14 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 12:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 12:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.09%E -1.93%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.73%E -3.30%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:33 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.70%E -2.33%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-14 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.70%E -2.33%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 15:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.70%E -2.33%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.70%E -2.33%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-14 12:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 12:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-14 16:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.30%E -2.72%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.42%E -0.568%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-14 05:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -2.60%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-14 12:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.00%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-14 14:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-14 12:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-14 12:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-14 04:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 12:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 13:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.91%E -3.13%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.21%E -0.890%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 15:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-14 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.00%E -1.22%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.12%E -3.95%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-14 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.73%E -4.37%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-14 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.33%E -4.79%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-14 14:08 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.54%E -5.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.42%E -0.568%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.54%E -5.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.42%E -0.568%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.54%E -5.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.42%E -0.568%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.54%E -5.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.42%E -0.568%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.54%E -5.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.42%E -0.568%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.54%E -5.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.42%E -0.568%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.54%E -5.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.42%E -0.568%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -8.54%E -5.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -9.15%E -6.10%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -9.75%E -6.55%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -10.36%E -7.00%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.12% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.88% | -0.0% | 2026-05-14 16:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.7% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60% | 3.5% | 2026-05-14 16:35 |