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Pittsburgh Pirates v Colorado Rockies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 71.30%1.40fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -6.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%71.41%71.27%73.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.3776.92%75.02%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colorado Rockies (Visit)
Prediction 28.70%3.48fair odd
EV +3.32%
Edge +0.922%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.98%28.59%28.73%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.363.6032.26%29.70%29.76%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 71.30%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 28.70%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +3.32%E +0.922%K +1.28%G +0.042% | 3.0% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +1.89%E +0.531%K +0.739%G +0.014% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV +1.89%E +0.531%K +0.739%G +0.014% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 20:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.451%E +0.129%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.451%E +0.129%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.451%E +0.129%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 20:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.451%E +0.129%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.451%E +0.129%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.451%E +0.129%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.451%E +0.129%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.451%E +0.129%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.451%E +0.129%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.451%E +0.129%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.451%E +0.129%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.451%E +0.129%K +0.180%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 20:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -0.984%E -0.285%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -1.85%E -0.540%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -1.85%E -0.540%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 20:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 19:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 21:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 18:43 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 19:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.42%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -2.99%E -0.886%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.10%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.90%EV -3.28%E -0.973%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-12 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.10%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.90%EV -3.28%E -0.973%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-12 21:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 20:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 20:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-12 19:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.75%E -2.77%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.75%E -2.77%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.75%E -2.77%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-12 20:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 21:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-12 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.54%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -5.86%E -1.79%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 21:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -6.15%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 21:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.44%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.44%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -6.44%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.75%E -2.77%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 21:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 22:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 22:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 20:11 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.89% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 28.11% | -0.6% | 2026-05-12 22:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 19:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.19% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.81% | 1.8% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-05-12 22:40 |