Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.57
assuming max odds 2.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 62.19%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 37.81%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.207%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.86%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +0.207%E +0.078%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -0.550%E -0.209%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -0.550%E -0.209%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -7.34%E -4.93%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -0.550%E -0.209%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.86%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.68%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -2.06%E -0.796%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -2.44%E -0.946%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-13 22:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -2.44%E -0.946%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-13 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.44%E -0.946%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-13 22:43 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.86%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.44%E -0.946%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 22:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-13 22:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.48%E -3.60%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -4.33%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.48%E -3.60%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.33%E -1.71%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.71%E -1.87%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 22:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 22:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.86%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.86%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 22:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.86%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.86%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.86%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.86%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.86%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.48%E -3.60%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.22%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.22%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.86%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.48%E -3.60%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.25%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-13 22:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.35% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.65% | 0.2% | 2026-05-13 22:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-05-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-05-13 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-05-13 22:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-05-13 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-05-13 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-13 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.89% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.11% | 10.2% | 2026-05-13 23:00 |