La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Pittsburgh Pirates v Cincinnati Reds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Predicción 55.30%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.570%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.81%55.14%55.27%56.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.731.731.7959.88%57.72%57.80%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)
Predicción 44.70%2.24momio equitativo
EV -0.757%
Ventaja -0.341%
Kelly -0.621%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.72%44.86%44.73%46.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.142.142.2251.02%46.79%46.73%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.02%E -0.570%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.99%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 22:44 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.57%E -0.884%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.99%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.57%E -0.884%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 22:49 |
| Everygame | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.13%E -1.20%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.65%E -0.751%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 04:50 |
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.757%E -0.341%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.65%E -0.751%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.65%E -0.751%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-01 22:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.68%E -1.52%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -8.36%E -4.08%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 22:44 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.23%E -1.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-01 21:33 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.23%E -1.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-01 20:19 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -3.23%E -1.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -5.67%E -2.69%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 22:42 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.23%E -1.85%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 22:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.44%E -1.59%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 03:55 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 00:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 20:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 05:53 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 19:39 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 00:09 |
| Betway | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.36%E -4.08%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 22:44 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 23:24 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-01 20:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 20:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 20:19 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 20:19 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 20:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 20:19 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 20:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 20:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 20:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.23%E -2.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 21:33 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.23%E -2.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 21:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.23%E -2.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.23%E -2.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.23%E -2.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 20:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.23%E -2.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 20:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.23%E -2.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 20:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.99%E -1.38%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 19:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 00:04 |
| 888sport | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 22:52 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.44%E -3.18%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-01 10:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -7.10%E -4.23%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -12.38%E -6.32%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 00:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.66%E -4.58%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 20:18 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 00:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-01 23:39 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 00:10 |
| Novig | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06% | 2.3% | 2026-05-02 00:09 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 00:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 00:10 |