A Escola das Odds

Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-07-25 22:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Previsão 52.86%1.89odd justa
EV -1.15%
Vantagem -0.613%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.32%52.74%52.99%53.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.741.811.801.8757.47%55.30%55.56%53.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 47.14%2.12odd justa
EV -1.01%
Vantagem -0.482%
Kelly -0.920%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.23%47.26%47.01%48.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.942.022.022.1051.55%49.45%49.50%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.15%E -0.613%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-25 22:35
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.67%E -0.900%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 22:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.20%E -1.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.96%E -0.940%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 21:24
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.20%E -1.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-25 22:35
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.20%E -1.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.20%E -1.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 21:10
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.73%E -1.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.01%E -0.482%K -0.920%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-25 22:35
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.73%E -1.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.48%E -0.710%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-25 22:40
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.73%E -1.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.96%E -0.940%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.73%E -1.48%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -1.96%E -0.940%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-25 22:39
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.90%E -1.41%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 21:25
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.90%E -1.41%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 21:25
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 14:20
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 19:25
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 22:40
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.79%E -2.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 14:55
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -3.79%E -2.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -3.79%E -2.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -8.55%E -4.41%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 22:39
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 21:08
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:25
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 22:40
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 15:30
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 22:29
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:05
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 14:19
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:05
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:05
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 20:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:05
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 14:55
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:25
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:05
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 19:20
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 14:50
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 14:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 14:50
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 14:49
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 20:15
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:29
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.08%E -4.15%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 22:27
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.38%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 22:25
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.90%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 21:05
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.90%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 22:30
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.90%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.31%E -2.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 22:25
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.90%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.31%E -2.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 22:25
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.90%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 22:29
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 14:25
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 19:55
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.14%E -3.62%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 21:25
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -7.14%E -3.62%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 22:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-07-25 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-07-25 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-07-25 22:40
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-07-25 22:40
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-25 18:55
BetOpenly1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-07-25 22:14
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-25 22:40
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.6%2026-07-25 22:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-07-25 22:35
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-07-25 21:35