Language:English
Pittsburgh Pirates v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)
Prediction 60.62%1.65fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%60.46%60.65%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.571.6365.36%63.47%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 39.38%2.54fair odd
EV +0.410%
Edge +0.161%
Kelly +0.265%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.54%39.35%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.452.5544.44%41.17%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pittsburgh Pirates (Local): 60.62%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 39.38%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.410%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.410%E +0.161%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.56%E -0.623%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.95%E -0.784%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.95%E -0.784%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.95%E -0.784%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 22:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -1.95%E -0.784%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -1.79%E -1.10%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV -2.35%E -0.946%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-28 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.35%E -0.946%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.18%E -0.726%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -3.13%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-28 21:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.13%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -3.13%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.61%E -2.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 16:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.61%E -2.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.21%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 20:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.21%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 22:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 15:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.53%E -1.44%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.92%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 00:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.31%E -1.78%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.71%E -1.95%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 02:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 01:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.61%E -2.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.61%E -2.27%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.21%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 19:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 11:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.03%E -3.89%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -5.89%E -2.46%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.21%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 21:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.25%E -4.74%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.28%E -2.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 20:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.21%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.68%E -2.82%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.21%E -2.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.68%E -2.82%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 21:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.82%E -3.07%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.47%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.64%E -4.31%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.47%E -3.18%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 11:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.40%E -1.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.43%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 22:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.94% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 39.06% | -1.1% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-28 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-28 20:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51% | 2.1% | 2026-05-28 22:39 |