默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates v Arizona Diamondbacks

开赛时间: 2026-07-28 22:41 UTC

最终结果: Pittsburgh Pirates 7–8 Arizona Diamondbacks

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)

预测 50.72%1.97公平赔率
EV -0.582%
优势 -0.297%
Kelly -0.606%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.96

博彩公司预测分布
49.74%50.86%50.77%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.881.881.9655.56%53.23%53.19%51.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)

预测 49.28%2.03公平赔率
EV -1.45%
优势 -0.723%
Kelly -1.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
47.37%49.14%49.23%50.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.901.941.952.0052.63%51.47%51.28%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pittsburgh Pirates (主队):50.72%;Arizona Diamondbacks (客队):49.28%。 对于“Pittsburgh Pirates (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.97。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.96,期望值为-0.582%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -0.582%E -0.297%K -0.606%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.09%E -0.559%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.09%E -0.559%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 22:40
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.09%E -0.559%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 22:39
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.60%E -0.823%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.43%E -1.23%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 22:04
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.60%E -0.823%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.42%E -1.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 22:34
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.10%E -1.09%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.94%E -0.975%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 22:05
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.10%E -1.09%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.93%E -1.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 22:29
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 22:34
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:29
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 21:44
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 21:44
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 21:44
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 21:44
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 12:34
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.12%E -1.63%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -3.63%E -1.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -1.45%E -0.723%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-28 10:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.63%E -1.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 22:35
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.63%E -1.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 11:54
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -3.63%E -1.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -4.90%E -2.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.36%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 05:44
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.36%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.37%E -3.36%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.13%E -2.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 22:38
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.45%E -0.723%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 20:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.45%E -0.723%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-28 20:49
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 22:34
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 22:14
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.90%E -2.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 21:44
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.39%E -2.81%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:45
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.64%E -2.47%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.39%E -2.81%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.93%E -1.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 20:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.93%E -1.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 20:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:29
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 21:39
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-28 11:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.40%E -2.27%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.90%E -2.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.15%E -2.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.37%E -3.36%K -7.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 12:34
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.65%E -3.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.43%E -1.23%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.65%E -3.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.39%E -2.81%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 22:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.65%E -3.04%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.39%E -2.81%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 22:34
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.42%E -1.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 20:50
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.42%E -1.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.42%E -1.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 20:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.42%E -1.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 20:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.42%E -1.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 20:49
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.42%E -1.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 20:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.42%E -1.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 20:49
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.42%E -1.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 20:49
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 20:44
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 11:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 11:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.16%E -3.33%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 11:04
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.67%E -3.62%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.93%E -1.48%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 10:44
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.18%E -3.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 20:15
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.70%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.45%E -0.723%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 22:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.70%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.42%E -1.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 22:39
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.70%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 22:35
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.70%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.91%E -2.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 22:33
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.70%E -4.83%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.88%E -3.08%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 20:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-07-28 22:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-07-28 22:39
ProphetX◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.50%0.5%2026-07-28 22:39
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-28 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-28 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-28 21:39
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-28 22:29
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-28 22:10
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-28 22:40
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-07-28 22:40