L’École des cotes

Pittsburgh Pirates v Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-07-28 22:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pittsburgh Pirates (Local)

Prévision 51.11%1.96cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.06%51.05%51.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.861.871.9156.82%53.67%53.48%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.89%2.05cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.863%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.43%48.94%48.95%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.861.941.942.0153.76%51.56%51.55%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.38%E -1.24%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.74%E -0.863%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.38%E -1.24%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.22%E -1.11%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 17:40
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.38%E -1.24%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.22%E -1.11%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 17:40
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.38%E -1.24%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.22%E -1.11%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 17:50
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.38%E -1.24%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 18:20
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.89%E -1.52%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:45
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.40%E -1.80%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.18%E -2.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 17:40
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.91%E -2.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.16%E -2.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 17:50
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.91%E -2.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.14%E -3.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:40
MyBookie.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 20:04
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 17:40
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 17:45
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:05
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 18:10
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 21:10
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:29
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 21:10
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.16%E -2.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.16%E -2.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 17:45
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.16%E -2.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:00
NordicBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.16%E -2.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:05
Betsson1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.16%E -2.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 20:04
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.42%E -2.36%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 17:50
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.69%E -1.87%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:45
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.67%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 17:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 17:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 17:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.44%E -2.94%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 17:50
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.95%E -3.24%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 20:00
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.95%E -3.24%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.16%E -2.66%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 20:04
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.46%E -3.53%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.65%E -2.93%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 20:03
betano_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.46%E -3.53%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.65%E -2.93%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 19:59
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.00%E -4.44%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%EV -9.53%E -5.39%K -12.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.76%EV -9.07%E -4.88%K -10.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-27 20:00
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -10.04%E -5.71%K -13.21%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -9.07%E -4.88%K -10.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-27 20:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-07-27 21:30
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-27 21:30
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-07-27 21:30
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%9.7%2026-07-27 21:30