默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Yankees

开赛时间: 2026-07-24 22:46 UTC

最终结果: Philadelphia Phillies 0–1 New York Yankees

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies (主队)

预测 55.32%1.81公平赔率
EV -1.53%
优势 -0.862%
Kelly -1.97%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布
53.05%55.18%55.27%56.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.731.721.7860.24%57.97%58.14%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

New York Yankees (客队)

预测 44.68%2.24公平赔率
EV -0.359%
优势 -0.161%
Kelly -0.292%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.23

博彩公司预测分布
43.54%44.82%44.73%46.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.142.152.2350.00%46.76%46.51%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Philadelphia Phillies (主队):55.32%;New York Yankees (客队):44.68%。 对于“New York Yankees (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.24。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.23,期望值为-0.359%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.53%E -0.862%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.15%E -0.980%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-24 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.53%E -0.862%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.53%E -0.862%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-24 22:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.53%E -0.862%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 22:45
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.53%E -0.862%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 22:40
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.09%E -1.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.70%E -0.772%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-24 22:44
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.09%E -1.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.09%E -1.18%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.64%E -5.32%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 22:45
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.64%E -1.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.25%E -0.567%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-24 14:30
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -0.806%E -0.363%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-24 22:25
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.25%E -0.567%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-24 22:44
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -2.15%E -0.980%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-24 22:45
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.49%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 16:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-24 13:55
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 22:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 04:29
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 19:55
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-24 22:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 22:45
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 22:45
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.83%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 16:40
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 23:30
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 22:45
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-24 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 20:20
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.359%E -0.161%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-24 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.359%E -0.161%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-24 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 19:50
DraftKings🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 19:50
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 14:45
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 22:45
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 22:45
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.70%E -0.772%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.70%E -0.772%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.70%E -0.772%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 22:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 18:10
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 22:45
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 16:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 22:35
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -2.15%E -0.980%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-24 22:14
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 22:30
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 22:30
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 22:30
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 16:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 21:20
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 22:34
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 22:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.07%E -4.21%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 22:29
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.07%E -4.21%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.07%E -4.21%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.07%E -4.21%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.51%E -3.63%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 22:16
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 22:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-07-24 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-24 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-24 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-24 22:45
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-07-24 22:45
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-24 22:20
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-24 19:50
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-24 22:44
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-07-24 22:45
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-07-24 22:45