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Philadelphia Phillies v New York Yankees
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Predicción 55.32%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.862%
Kelly -1.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%55.18%55.27%56.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.661.731.721.7860.24%57.97%58.14%56.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Yankees (Visitante)
Predicción 44.68%2.24momio equitativo
EV -0.359%
Ventaja -0.161%
Kelly -0.292%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.54%44.82%44.73%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2350.00%46.76%46.51%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 55.32%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 44.68%. Para New York Yankees (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.24. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.23, con un valor esperado de -0.359%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.53%E -0.862%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -2.15%E -0.980%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.53%E -0.862%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.53%E -0.862%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.53%E -0.862%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.53%E -0.862%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-24 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.09%E -1.18%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.70%E -0.772%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-24 22:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.09%E -1.18%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.09%E -1.18%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.64%E -5.32%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.64%E -1.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.25%E -0.567%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-24 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -0.806%E -0.363%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-24 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.25%E -0.567%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-24 22:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -2.15%E -0.980%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.49%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-24 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-24 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-24 04:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-24 19:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-24 22:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.83%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-24 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-23 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-24 20:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.359%E -0.161%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -0.359%E -0.161%K -0.292%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-24 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-24 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.70%E -0.772%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-24 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.70%E -0.772%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.70%E -0.772%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-24 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-24 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-24 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-24 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-24 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-24 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-24 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -2.15%E -0.980%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-24 22:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.59%E -1.19%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 16:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 21:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-24 22:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.40%E -4.10%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-24 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.07%E -4.21%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 22:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.07%E -4.21%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.07%E -4.21%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.04%E -1.40%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.07%E -4.21%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.51%E -3.63%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-24 22:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-24 22:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-07-24 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 0.9% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-24 22:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-24 19:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-07-24 22:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 2.6% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65% | 3.2% | 2026-07-24 22:45 |