Language:English
Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 53.16%1.88fair odd
EV -0.594%
Edge -0.318%
Kelly -0.683%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.57%53.32%53.25%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.801.8758.82%55.39%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 46.84%2.13fair odd
EV -0.227%
Edge -0.107%
Kelly -0.201%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%46.68%46.75%48.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.032.022.1351.55%49.35%49.50%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 53.16%; New York Mets (Visit): 46.84%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.135. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.130, with an expected value of -0.227%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -0.594%E -0.318%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.13%E -0.605%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-18 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.66%E -0.896%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.10%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-06-18 22:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.66%E -0.896%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.04%E -1.47%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-18 22:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.66%E -0.896%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-18 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.66%E -0.896%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.66%E -0.896%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.63%E -0.777%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.63%E -0.777%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-18 20:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.44%E -2.18%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-18 21:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-18 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -7.72%E -3.92%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.19%E -4.18%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -2.72%E -1.49%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -8.19%E -4.18%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.25%E -1.79%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-18 21:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.25%E -1.79%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.25%E -3.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-18 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -3.25%E -1.79%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -9.13%E -4.70%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.78%E -2.09%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.227%E -0.107%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-06-18 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.78%E -2.09%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.696%E -0.328%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.78%E -2.09%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -0.696%E -0.328%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -3.78%E -2.09%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.91%E -2.42%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-18 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 09:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 21:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.85%E -2.91%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 22:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 20:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 21:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.31%E -2.40%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.66%E -4.44%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-18 20:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.51%E -1.70%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-18 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.38%E -2.66%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.85%E -2.71%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-18 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.38%E -3.02%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.38%E -3.02%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.44%E -3.66%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.19%E -4.18%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-18 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -0.696%E -0.328%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.97%E -3.98%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-18 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.63%E -0.777%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.50%E -4.31%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.63%E -0.777%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.57%E -4.98%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.10%E -5.32%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.63%E -0.777%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.63%E -5.67%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-18 22:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-06-18 22:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98% | 0.9% | 2026-06-18 22:37 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-06-18 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 2.3% | 2026-06-18 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16% | 3.4% | 2026-06-18 22:39 |