A Escola das Odds

Philadelphia Phillies v New York Mets

Início: 2026-07-16 22:11 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 1–4 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 53.19%1.88odd justa
EV -1.59%
Vantagem -0.861%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%53.22%53.25%54.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.801.801.8557.14%55.59%55.56%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 46.81%2.14odd justa
EV -0.769%
Vantagem -0.363%
Kelly -0.686%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.74%46.78%46.75%48.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.042.042.1251.28%49.07%49.02%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.59%E -0.861%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-16 22:10
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.59%E -0.861%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-16 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.59%E -0.861%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-16 22:00
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.59%E -0.861%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-16 22:00
Everygame1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.13%E -1.16%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.17%E -1.04%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-16 21:45
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.769%E -0.363%K -0.686%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-16 20:05
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.24%E -0.586%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-16 21:05
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-16 22:09
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-16 22:10
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.73%E -4.47%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 22:10
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.19%E -1.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-16 21:35
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.19%E -1.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-16 21:35
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.19%E -1.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-16 21:35
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.19%E -1.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-16 21:35
FanDuel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.72%E -2.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-16 22:10
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.72%E -2.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 21:35
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.72%E -2.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.72%E -2.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 21:35
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.72%E -2.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 21:35
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.72%E -2.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 21:35
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.72%E -2.06%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 21:35
MyBookie.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.11%E -1.50%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-16 21:14
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 19:40
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 21:08
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 20:30
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 21:10
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 19:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 20:05
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 21:55
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 21:55
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 21:35
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 21:35
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 21:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 22:05
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 22:10
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 22:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 22:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.73%E -4.47%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 22:10
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.79%E -2.67%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-16 21:05
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.79%E -2.67%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.98%E -2.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 22:10
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.79%E -2.67%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 22:00
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.79%E -2.67%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.45%E -2.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 22:00
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 21:45
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 21:55
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-16 22:08
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.32%E -2.99%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.32%E -3.70%K -7.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-16 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.85%E -3.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.70%E -0.812%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 05:20
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.85%E -3.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.70%E -0.812%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 06:39
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.85%E -3.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.64%E -1.27%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 21:30
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -5.85%E -3.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.51%E -2.21%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-16 22:00
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -5.85%E -3.30%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.79%E -3.95%K -8.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 21:35
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.38%E -3.63%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 20:05
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 20:00
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 20:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.05%E -1.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 21:15
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.39%E -3.19%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 22:10
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.26%E -4.21%K -8.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-16 22:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.87I 53.48%NM 53.48%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.52%-0.0%2026-07-16 22:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-07-16 22:09
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-07-16 22:10
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-16 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-16 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-16 22:10
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-16 22:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-16 22:10
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-07-16 22:10