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Philadelphia Phillies v Milwaukee Brewers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia Phillies (Local)
Prediction 46.56%2.15fair odd
EV +0.096%
Edge +0.045%
Kelly +0.083%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.43%46.60%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.052.1552.36%48.85%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)
Prediction 53.44%1.87fair odd
EV -0.060%
Edge -0.032%
Kelly -0.069%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.57%53.40%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.791.8758.82%56.14%55.87%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 46.56%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 53.44%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.148. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.150, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.096%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +0.096%E +0.045%K +0.083%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -8.61%E -5.04%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.30%E -0.614%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.77%E -0.837%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-23 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-23 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-23 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.01%E -4.03%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.61%E -5.04%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.13%E -0.610%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-23 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 22:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-23 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.13%E -0.610%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.13%E -0.610%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-23 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.13%E -0.610%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-23 22:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.63%E -1.75%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-23 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.060%E -0.032%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-23 22:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.27%E -1.80%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-23 21:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 21:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.87%E -2.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-23 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.40%E -3.05%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-23 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.94%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-23 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-23 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-23 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-23 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-23 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.08%E -4.70%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.61%E -5.04%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-23 22:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.15%E -5.38%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-23 22:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.15%E -5.38%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-23 22:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.73%E -1.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-23 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-23 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.87%E -2.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-23 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.03%E -2.46%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.87%E -2.74%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 22:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-23 22:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-23 22:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-23 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.94%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.94%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.96%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.89%E -3.44%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-23 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.89%E -3.44%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.89%E -3.44%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.94%E -3.37%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.28%E -4.21%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.47%E -3.70%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-23 22:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.75%E -4.46%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.08%E -4.70%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-23 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.22%E -4.73%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-23 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.08%E -5.80%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%EV -9.15%E -5.38%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-23 22:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-09-23 22:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-09-23 14:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 1.2% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.0% | 2026-09-23 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.6% | 2026-09-23 22:39 |