Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.35
assuming max odds 3.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 72.39%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 27.61%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.793%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%EV -3.00%E -2.24%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%EV +0.793%E +0.217%K +0.299%G +0.002% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV +0.793%E +0.217%K +0.299%G +0.002% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.588%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.588%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.588%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.588%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.588%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.588%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.588%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -3.00%E -2.24%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -1.42%E -0.397%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -2.28%E -1.69%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV -1.69%E -0.475%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.28%E -1.69%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -1.97%E -0.554%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.28%E -1.69%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -1.97%E -0.554%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.97%E -0.554%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.97%E -0.554%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -1.97%E -0.554%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -2.80%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 05:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.00%E -2.24%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.00%E -2.24%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 14:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 20:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 10:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 17:33 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 17:33 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.35%E -5.74%K -26.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.29%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -4.18%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 17:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.56%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 03:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.45%E -3.37%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.95%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 20:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 02:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.62%E -5.13%K -22.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 15:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.90%E -4.54%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.28%E -1.69%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.80%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.00%E -2.24%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -9.98%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.00%E -2.24%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -9.98%E -3.06%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.64% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.36% | -0.2% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.80% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.20% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 16:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 17:34 |