Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.57
assuming max odds 2.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 62.55%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 37.45%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -5.55%E -3.68%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV +1.12%E +0.413%K +0.657%G +0.007% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 21:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 21:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 21:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.80%E -4.56%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.80%E -4.56%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.80%E -4.56%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.80%E -4.56%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.80%E -4.56%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.80%E -4.56%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.80%E -4.56%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.80%E -4.56%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.43%E -5.02%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.756%E -0.285%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 21:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.55%E -3.68%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.88%E -0.717%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-09 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -1.80%E -1.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-09 22:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.42%E -1.55%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -1.80%E -1.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -3.00%E -1.16%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -1.80%E -1.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -3.75%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -1.80%E -1.14%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -3.75%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 22:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.42%E -1.55%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.75%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.75%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 18:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.67%E -2.39%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.13%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 18:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.67%E -2.39%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.81%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.30%E -2.81%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 00:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 21:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.55%E -3.68%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 21:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 19:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.67%E -2.39%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.88%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.67%E -2.39%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.88%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 22:21 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.25%E -2.08%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.42%E -1.55%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.05%E -1.97%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.05%E -1.97%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.05%E -1.97%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.05%E -1.97%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.05%E -1.97%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 14:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.67%E -2.39%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.30%E -2.81%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 22:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.30%E -2.81%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 14:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 21:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.18%E -4.12%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 22:17 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.05%E -1.97%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 22:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.05%E -5.48%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -10.12%E -4.22%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 19:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |
| Novig◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 22:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 22:24 |