Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 7–9 Colorado Rockies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 66.63%1.50fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.940%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.57%66.63%66.59%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.431.4871.43%70.07%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 33.37%3.00fair odd
EV +0.118%
Edge +0.039%
Kelly +0.059%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.97%33.37%33.41%34.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.893.0037.04%34.68%34.60%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 66.63%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 33.37%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.996. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.118%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +0.118%E +0.039%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.06%E -4.29%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +0.118%E +0.039%K +0.059%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 22:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.06%E -4.29%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +0.118%E +0.039%K +0.059%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -3.39%E -2.34%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV -0.883%E -0.297%K -0.448%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 22:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -3.39%E -2.34%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV -0.883%E -0.297%K -0.448%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 22:20
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.06%E -4.29%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.55%E -0.525%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.06%E -4.29%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.55%E -0.525%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 22:24
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.06%E -4.29%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.55%E -0.525%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 22:24
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.06%E -4.29%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.55%E -0.525%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 22:24
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.06%E -4.29%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.55%E -0.525%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 22:24
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.06%E -4.29%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.55%E -0.525%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 22:24
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.06%E -4.29%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.55%E -0.525%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 22:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.06%E -4.29%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.55%E -0.525%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 22:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.55%E -0.525%K -0.795%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.55%E -0.525%K -0.795%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:24
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.55%E -0.525%K -0.795%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:24
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.55%E -0.525%K -0.795%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:24
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -2.06%E -1.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -2.22%E -0.757%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-08 22:29
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -1.39%E -0.940%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -2.55%E -0.874%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-08 22:32
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.55%E -0.874%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 21:17
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.39%E -2.34%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.22%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 22:18
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.39%E -2.34%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.22%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 22:09
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.22%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 19:00
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.22%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.22%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 22:19
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.22%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 22:19
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.22%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 22:33
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.22%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 22:20
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.22%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.22%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 18:29
BetUS🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.44%EV -2.72%E -1.87%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.56%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 22:34
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -3.55%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:59
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -3.89%E -1.35%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 22:39
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -3.89%E -1.35%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.39%E -2.34%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -4.22%E -1.47%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 22:28
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.55%E -1.59%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 22:40
Everygame🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -1.39%E -0.940%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-08 14:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.39%E -2.34%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 21:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 02:05
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:19
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 20:19
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 20:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 20:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.89%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 22:29
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.22%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.72%E -3.30%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -5.55%E -1.96%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.06%E -1.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.56%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 21:04
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.39%E -2.34%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.56%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.39%E -3.80%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.56%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 22:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.06%E -4.29%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -6.56%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 22:24
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.56%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 20:13
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.56%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:59
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -7.22%E -2.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 22:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 23:25
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.06%E -2.82%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 22:39
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.72%E -4.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 22:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-05-08 22:34
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-05-08 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-05-08 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-05-08 22:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-05-08 22:40
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-05-08 21:04
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-05-08 22:39
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-05-08 22:39
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-05-08 21:04
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-05-08 22:34