A Escola das Odds

Philadelphia Phillies v Chicago Cubs

Início: 2026-04-14 22:40 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 4–10 Chicago Cubs

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 56.30%1.78odd justa
EV -1.48%
Vantagem -0.847%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.27%56.32%56.27%57.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.631.691.691.7561.35%59.07%59.17%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Previsão 43.70%2.29odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.740%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.71%43.68%43.73%44.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.192.202.2547.62%45.64%45.45%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.48%E -0.847%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.54%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-14 22:19
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.48%E -0.847%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:20
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.48%E -0.847%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:20
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.04%E -1.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.67%E -0.740%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 20:30
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.04%E -1.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.67%E -0.740%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 22:20
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.04%E -1.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.10%E -0.939%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 20:25
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.04%E -1.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-14 20:20
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.04%E -1.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 17:45
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.17%E -1.84%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.73%E -2.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 20:05
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 13:50
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 19:55
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.73%E -2.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 20:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.73%E -2.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 20:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:30
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.54%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 22:05
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.54%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 22:05
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.54%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 21:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 01:54
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.73%E -2.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 16:05
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.16%E -2.38%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 16:04
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:05
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:05
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 02:45
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:40
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:40
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 17:20
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.67%E -0.740%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-14 20:15
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.54%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 20:14
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:24
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 23:49
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.16%E -2.38%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:19
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.60%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 21:05
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.60%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 21:05
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:55
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:54
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:54
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:55
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:55
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:54
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -2.10%E -0.939%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 20:10
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 17:45
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:05
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:05
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:05
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:04
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 20:14
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.55%E -3.94%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.55%E -3.94%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.11%E -4.31%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 06:04
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.11%E -4.31%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 22:35
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -8.24%E -5.05%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.22%E -3.92%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 20:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-04-14 22:30
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-04-14 22:35
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-14 22:35
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-14 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-14 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-14 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-14 22:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-14 22:15
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-04-14 22:35