مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v Chicago Cubs

البداية: 2026-04-14 22:40 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 4–10 Chicago Cubs

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.30%1.78السعر العادل
EV -1.48%
الأفضلية -0.847%
Kelly -1.98%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.27%56.32%56.27%57.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.631.691.691.7561.35%59.07%59.17%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chicago Cubs (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.70%2.29السعر العادل
EV -1.67%
الأفضلية -0.740%
Kelly -1.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.71%43.68%43.73%44.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.192.202.2547.62%45.64%45.45%44.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.48%E -0.847%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.54%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-14 22:19
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.48%E -0.847%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:20
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.48%E -0.847%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-14 22:20
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.04%E -1.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.67%E -0.740%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 20:30
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.04%E -1.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.67%E -0.740%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 22:20
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -2.04%E -1.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.10%E -0.939%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 20:25
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.04%E -1.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-14 20:20
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.04%E -1.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 17:45
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.17%E -1.84%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.73%E -2.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 20:05
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 13:50
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 19:55
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.73%E -2.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 20:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.73%E -2.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 20:39
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.73%E -2.18%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:30
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.54%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 22:05
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.54%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 22:05
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.54%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 21:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 01:54
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.73%E -2.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 16:05
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.16%E -2.38%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 16:04
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:05
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 16:05
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 02:45
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:40
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:40
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.30%E -2.53%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 17:20
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.67%E -0.740%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-14 20:15
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -2.54%E -1.14%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 20:14
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:24
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 23:49
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.16%E -2.38%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:19
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.60%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 21:05
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.86%E -2.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.60%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 21:05
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:55
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:54
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:54
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:55
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:55
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.42%E -3.23%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:54
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -2.10%E -0.939%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 20:10
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 17:45
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:05
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:05
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:05
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:04
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.99%E -3.58%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 20:14
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.55%E -3.94%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.55%E -3.94%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.11%E -4.31%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.85%E -1.75%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 06:04
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.11%E -4.31%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.04%E -2.81%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 22:35
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -8.24%E -5.05%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.22%E -3.92%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 20:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-04-14 22:30
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-04-14 22:35
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-14 22:35
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-14 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-14 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-14 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-04-14 22:35
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-14 22:15
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-04-14 22:35