默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 17:11 UTC

最终结果: Philadelphia Phillies 4–5 Atlanta Braves

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies (主队)

预测 50.15%1.99公平赔率
EV -1.70%
优势 -0.868%
Kelly -1.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.96

博彩公司预测分布
48.68%50.17%50.00%51.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.911.911.9654.64%52.42%52.36%51.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlanta Braves (客队)

预测 49.85%2.01公平赔率
EV -1.30%
优势 -0.658%
Kelly -1.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
48.93%49.83%50.00%51.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.901.911.9855.56%52.51%52.36%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Philadelphia Phillies (主队):50.15%;Atlanta Braves (客队):49.85%。 对于“Atlanta Braves (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.01。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.98,期望值为-1.30%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.70%E -0.868%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 07:00
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 16:54
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.29%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.29%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.29%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.29%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.78%E -4.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 14:25
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.30%E -0.658%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 17:00
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 15:15
Everygame🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 05:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:00
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:00
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:00
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.21%E -1.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.80%E -0.914%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.21%E -1.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.80%E -0.914%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 17:10
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.21%E -1.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.80%E -0.914%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.21%E -1.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.29%E -2.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.21%E -1.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.78%E -4.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 16:55
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:42
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -3.71%E -1.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -8.28%E -4.50%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -3.71%E -1.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -8.28%E -4.50%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:55
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 17:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.79%E -1.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 17:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 00:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 00:30
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 17:05
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.29%E -2.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 12:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:09
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.21%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.21%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.79%E -1.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:05
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.21%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.29%E -2.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.21%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.21%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:10
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.21%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.71%E -3.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.29%E -2.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.71%E -3.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -5.71%E -3.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -10.27%E -5.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 17:10
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 17:05
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.72%E -3.61%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.30%E -1.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.72%E -3.61%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 17:08
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.22%E -3.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.29%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.22%E -4.49%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 17:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-09-06 16:40
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-09-06 17:10
ProphetX◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%0.8%2026-09-06 17:10
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-06 17:05
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-06 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-06 17:10
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-09-06 17:10
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%7.2%2026-09-06 17:05