Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-09-06 17:11 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 4–5 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Previsão 50.15%1.99odd justa
EV -1.70%
Vantagem -0.868%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.68%50.17%50.00%51.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.911.9654.64%52.42%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 49.85%2.01odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.658%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.93%49.83%50.00%51.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.901.911.9855.56%52.51%52.36%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 50.15%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 49.85%. Para Atlanta Braves (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.01. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.98, com valor esperado de -1.30%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.70%E -0.868%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 07:00
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 16:54
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 15:50
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.29%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.29%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.29%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.29%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 16:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.20%E -1.13%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.78%E -4.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 14:25
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.30%E -0.658%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 17:00
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 15:15
Everygame🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 05:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:00
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:00
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:00
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:55
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.70%E -1.39%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.21%E -1.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.80%E -0.914%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.21%E -1.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.80%E -0.914%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 17:10
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.21%E -1.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.80%E -0.914%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-06 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.21%E -1.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.29%E -2.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.21%E -1.66%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.78%E -4.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 16:55
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.29%E -2.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:42
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -3.71%E -1.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -8.28%E -4.50%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -3.71%E -1.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -8.28%E -4.50%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 16:55
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 17:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.79%E -1.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 17:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 00:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 00:30
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.21%E -2.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 17:05
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.29%E -2.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 12:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.71%E -2.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:09
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.21%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.30%E -1.17%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.21%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.79%E -1.97%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 17:05
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.21%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.29%E -2.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.21%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.21%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:10
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.21%E -2.76%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.71%E -3.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.29%E -2.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.71%E -3.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -5.71%E -3.04%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -10.27%E -5.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.80%E -1.43%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 17:10
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 17:05
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.32%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.79%E -3.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.72%E -3.61%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.30%E -1.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.72%E -3.61%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 17:08
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.22%E -3.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.29%E -3.34%K -7.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.22%E -3.90%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.21%K -9.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.22%E -4.49%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.79%E -2.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 17:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-09-06 16:40
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-09-06 17:10
ProphetX◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37%0.8%2026-09-06 17:10
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-06 17:05
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-06 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-06 17:10
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-09-06 17:10
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%7.2%2026-09-06 17:05