Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies v Atlanta Braves

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 22:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia Phillies 0–9 Atlanta Braves

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia Phillies (Local)

Prediction 48.77%2.05fair odd
EV -0.987%
Edge -0.486%
Kelly -0.958%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.81%48.85%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.962.0353.48%51.09%51.15%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 51.23%1.95fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.588%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.19%51.15%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.851.9355.56%53.66%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia Phillies (Local): 48.77%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 51.23%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.03, with an expected value of -0.987%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.987%E -0.486%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.70%E -1.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-17 22:40
theScore Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -0.987%E -0.486%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -4.72%E -2.54%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-17 20:55
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -1.96%E -0.976%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -1.65%E -0.858%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.8%2026-04-17 22:39
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.96%E -0.976%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.16%E -1.13%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.45%E -1.23%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.16%E -1.13%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-17 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.45%E -1.23%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.70%E -1.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-17 22:40
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.45%E -1.23%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.21%E -2.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-17 21:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.45%E -1.23%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 22:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.45%E -1.23%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.26%E -3.42%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 21:20
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.45%E -1.23%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.43%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.14%E -0.588%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.43%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.14%E -0.588%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 22:40
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.43%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.14%E -0.588%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 22:38
Everygame🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.43%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.14%E -0.588%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 22:39
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.43%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 21:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.91%E -1.99%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.26%E -3.42%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 19:09
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.72%E -2.54%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 21:20
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 22:40
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 22:40
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 22:40
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.75%E -3.12%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.75%E -3.12%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.40%E -2.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.75%E -3.12%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.21%E -2.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 20:45
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.21%E -2.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.21%E -2.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 21:45
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.21%E -2.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.21%E -2.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 21:19
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.21%E -2.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 22:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.72%E -2.54%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 21:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:00
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.26%E -3.42%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.26%E -3.42%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.26%E -3.42%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 22:40
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.26%E -3.42%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 21:20
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.89%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 22:33
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.38%E -2.77%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.72%E -2.54%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.38%E -2.77%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.26%E -3.42%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.38%E -2.77%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.77%E -3.72%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 21:20
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.86%E -3.04%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.21%E -2.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 19:09
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.35%E -3.31%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.65%E -0.858%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 21:45
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.35%E -3.31%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.70%E -1.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.84%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.16%E -1.13%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 18:25
Betsson🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.84%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 21:45
NordicBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.84%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 21:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.84%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.84%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 19:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.84%E -3.58%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.23%E -2.83%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.33%E -3.86%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.67%E -1.41%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 15:39
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.79%E -4.70%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.21%E -2.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 20:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-04-17 22:35
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-17 19:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-17 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-17 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-17 22:35
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-04-17 22:40
Novig2.03I 49.26%NM 48.61%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.39%1.3%2026-04-17 22:40
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%2.8%2026-04-17 22:35
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-04-17 22:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.2%2026-04-17 22:40