默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies v Arizona Diamondbacks

开赛时间: 2026-04-12 17:36 UTC

最终结果: Philadelphia Phillies 3–4 Arizona Diamondbacks

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Phillies (主队)

预测 55.45%1.80公平赔率
EV -1.85%
优势 -1.04%
Kelly -2.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
53.97%55.46%55.40%57.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.721.721.7759.88%58.06%58.14%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)

预测 44.55%2.24公平赔率
EV +2.01%
优势 +0.878%
Kelly +1.56%
增长率 +0.031%

假设最高赔率为 2.29

博彩公司预测分布
42.61%44.54%44.60%46.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.042.152.142.2949.02%46.60%46.73%43.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Philadelphia Phillies (主队):55.45%;Arizona Diamondbacks (客队):44.55%。 对于“Arizona Diamondbacks (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.24。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.29,对应+2.01%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +2.01%E +0.878%K +1.56%G +0.031%2.5%2026-04-12 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +2.01%E +0.878%K +1.56%G +0.031%2.5%2026-04-12 17:34
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.229%E +0.102%K +0.183%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-12 17:15
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -0.217%E -0.097%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 17:15
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.217%E -0.097%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:29
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.40%E -1.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.11%E -0.499%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-12 17:25
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.11%E -0.499%K -0.908%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.908%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.908%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.908%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:10
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.00%E -0.908%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 17:33
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.89%E -1.33%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -6.28%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -3.34%E -1.54%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:20
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 17:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:14
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:15
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:10
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:10
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.85%E -1.04%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:14
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.85%E -1.04%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:10
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:10
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:35
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:32
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 17:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 17:25
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 17:15
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -9.13%E -4.47%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%-0.0%2026-04-12 17:34
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-04-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-12 17:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-12 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-04-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-04-12 17:35
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-04-12 17:35
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-04-12 17:35
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-04-12 17:35