مدرسة الاحتمالات

Philadelphia Phillies v Arizona Diamondbacks

البداية: 2026-04-12 17:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Philadelphia Phillies 3–4 Arizona Diamondbacks

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Philadelphia Phillies (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.45%1.80السعر العادل
EV -1.85%
الأفضلية -1.04%
Kelly -2.40%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.97%55.46%55.40%57.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.721.721.7759.88%58.06%58.14%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.55%2.24السعر العادل
EV +2.01%
الأفضلية +0.878%
Kelly +1.56%
النمو +0.031%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.61%44.54%44.60%46.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.042.152.142.2949.02%46.60%46.73%43.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +2.01%E +0.878%K +1.56%G +0.031%2.5%2026-04-12 17:35
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +2.01%E +0.878%K +1.56%G +0.031%2.5%2026-04-12 17:34
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +0.229%E +0.102%K +0.183%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-12 17:15
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -0.217%E -0.097%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-12 17:15
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.217%E -0.097%K -0.175%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:29
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.40%E -1.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.11%E -0.499%K -0.908%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-12 17:25
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.11%E -0.499%K -0.908%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-12 17:19
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.908%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:10
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.908%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:05
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.00%E -0.908%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:10
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.00%E -0.908%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 17:33
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.89%E -1.33%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 17:20
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -6.28%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -3.34%E -1.54%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:10
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.78%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:20
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 17:19
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:14
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 17:15
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 17:34
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:10
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:34
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.39%E -4.43%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.23%E -1.97%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:30
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:30
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
Unibet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
Casumo1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
Bally Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
betPARX1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 17:20
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 17:20
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 17:20
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.67%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 17:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:15
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.56%E -2.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:10
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.85%E -1.04%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:14
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.85%E -1.04%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 17:10
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:10
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 17:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 17:35
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 17:30
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.17%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 17:34
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:32
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:35
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.45%E -3.07%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 17:15
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 17:14
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 17:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.06%E -2.35%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.68%E -4.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 17:15
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -3.51%E -2.02%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -9.13%E -4.47%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 17:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%-0.0%2026-04-12 17:34
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%0.9%2026-04-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-04-12 17:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-12 17:35
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-12 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-04-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-04-12 17:35
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-04-12 17:35
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-04-12 17:35
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-04-12 17:35