Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.83
assuming max odds 2.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 54.63%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 45.37%. For New York Yankees (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.8304. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.8300, with an expected value of -0.023%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -0.023%E -0.012%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 20:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.66%E -0.923%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-05 20:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.10%E -0.504%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 23:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.10%E -0.504%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.55%E -0.715%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 20:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.75%E -1.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.191%E -0.087%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.10%E -0.504%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.10%E -0.504%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 22:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 20:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 20:08 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 20:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 20:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 20:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 20:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 20:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 20:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.30%E -1.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -6.09%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 20:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 20:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.85%E -2.19%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.54%E -3.18%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 20:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.37%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 23:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 20:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-05 20:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-05 15:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.46%E -1.14%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-05 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-05 23:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.37%E -1.58%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.94%E -2.84%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.27%E -2.03%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 22:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-05 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.49%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.03%E -3.51%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-05 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -11.99%E -6.18%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41% | 0.1% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-05 21:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 1.5% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.7% | 2026-05-05 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 2.3% | 2026-05-05 23:00 |