The School of Odds
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New York Yankees v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-09-23 23:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 56.17%1.78fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%56.23%56.19%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.701.7562.11%59.03%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 43.83%2.28fair odd
EV -0.060%
Edge -0.026%
Kelly -0.047%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%43.77%43.81%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.182.2848.78%45.93%45.87%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Yankees (Local): 56.17%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 43.83%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.281. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.280, with an expected value of -0.060%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.71%E -0.976%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.69%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-22 22:55
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.37%E -0.611%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-22 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.69%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-22 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.69%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-22 19:25
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.27%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.69%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-23 01:55
Caesars🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-22 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-23 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-22 22:04
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.39%E -1.97%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-22 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-22 19:25
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-22 23:15
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-23 00:50
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-23 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-23 00:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-23 00:50
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.88%E -2.25%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.88%E -2.25%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:50
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.88%E -2.25%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:50
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.88%E -2.25%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:50
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.88%E -2.25%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -4.88%E -2.25%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:50
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 01:45
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.96%E -2.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 01:04
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 02:00
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.32%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-23 00:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 01:44
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 19:25
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.52%E -2.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 22:50
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.08%E -3.01%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.44%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.08%E -3.01%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.32%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-22 19:25
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.08%E -3.01%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.32%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-22 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.08%E -3.01%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 01:51
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-23 02:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 00:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.64%E -3.36%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 00:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 19:25
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-22 19:24
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-23 01:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.71%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-23 02:00
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.76%E -4.07%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.060%E -0.026%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -6.76%E -4.07%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -10.14%E -4.95%K -9.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-23 01:45
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -0.060%E -0.026%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-23 01:05
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.33%E -4.44%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 01:05
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.89%E -4.81%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-23 00:50
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.01%E -5.56%K -14.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.37%E -0.611%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -9.57%E -5.95%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -10.14%E -4.95%K -9.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-23 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-22 19:25
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-22 23:10
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.7%2026-09-23 01:50
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%10.0%2026-09-23 01:45