The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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New York Yankees v Tampa Bay Rays

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 17:36 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 55.39%1.81fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.791%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%55.54%55.27%57.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.711.7860.61%58.25%58.48%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 44.61%2.24fair odd
EV +2.61%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +2.00%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%44.46%44.73%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.152.3047.62%46.25%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 55.39%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 44.61%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -5.29%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +2.61%E +1.13%K +2.00%G +0.052%2.0%2026-05-23 04:38
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.41%E -0.637%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 12:50
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.85%E -0.843%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-23 12:39
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.29%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.85%E -0.843%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 12:29
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.85%E -0.843%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.85%E -0.843%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 09:58
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.85%E -0.843%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 09:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.85%E -0.843%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 10:09
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.50%E -4.49%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.85%E -0.843%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 22:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.61%E -5.22%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.85%E -0.843%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 04:29
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.30%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-23 11:39
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.41%E -0.791%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 12:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 12:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.96%E -1.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 12:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 12:39
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.29%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 12:43
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 09:59
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 10:09
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 09:59
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 09:59
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 10:09
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 10:09
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 12:39
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.95%E -4.14%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.95%E -4.14%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.95%E -4.14%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 09:58
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.95%E -4.14%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 10:09
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.64%E -1.68%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-23 12:47
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 12:09
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 12:49
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 22:39
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 12:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 12:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 11:59
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 11:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 11:59
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 11:59
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 12:50
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 11:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 12:29
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.29%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 11:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.53%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 12:49
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.53%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 12:39
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.98%E -2.34%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 11:37
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:09
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:09
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 12:49
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 12:50
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 12:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 12:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.29%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 12:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 12:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-05-23 12:49
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-23 12:40
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-23 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-23 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-23 12:40
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-23 11:49
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-05-23 11:59
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-23 09:30
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-05-23 12:50