Language:English
New York Yankees v Tampa Bay Rays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 56.51%1.77fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%56.42%56.56%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.701.7562.50%59.01%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)
Prediction 43.49%2.30fair odd
EV +0.035%
Edge +0.015%
Kelly +0.027%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%43.58%43.44%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.182.3048.78%45.96%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 56.51%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 43.49%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.299. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.300, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.035%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +0.035%E +0.015%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-22 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +0.035%E +0.015%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-22 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.37%E -1.97%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.400%E -0.175%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-22 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.37%E -1.97%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.27%E -0.559%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.37%E -1.97%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.14%E -0.951%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-22 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.50%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.14%E -0.951%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-22 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.14%E -0.951%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.68%E -0.965%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -2.57%E -1.15%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-22 16:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.50%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.01%E -1.35%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-22 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.50%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.44%E -1.55%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-22 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.37%E -1.97%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-22 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.37%E -1.97%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-22 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.50%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.50%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.50%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-22 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.50%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.50%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-22 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 16:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 16:53 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.76%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-22 15:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.31%E -1.96%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-22 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.75%E -2.17%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.37%E -1.97%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.18%E -2.38%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-22 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.18%E -2.38%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.18%E -2.38%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -6.05%E -2.80%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -6.05%E -2.80%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -6.05%E -2.80%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -6.05%E -2.80%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-22 16:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.05%E -2.80%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-22 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.11%E -0.636%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-22 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 16:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 16:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.81%E -1.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-22 16:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.20%E -3.73%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-22 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.76%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.49%E -3.02%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-22 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.37%E -1.97%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.92%E -3.24%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.79%E -3.68%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-22 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.79%E -3.68%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-22 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.33%E -4.47%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.79%E -3.68%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.81%E -1.63%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.66%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-22 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.37%E -1.97%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.66%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-22 17:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.66%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 16:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.66%E -4.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -6.20%E -3.73%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -9.97%E -4.82%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-22 16:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.68%E -0.965%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.84%E -5.29%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 16:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.59%E -5.99%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.84%E -5.29%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-22 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-22 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-22 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-22 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-22 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-09-22 17:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78% | 3.4% | 2026-09-22 17:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44% | 4.7% | 2026-09-22 16:35 |