Language:English
New York Yankees v Seattle Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 59.12%1.69fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.761%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%59.16%59.03%61.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.601.6764.94%62.08%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 40.88%2.45fair odd
EV +1.79%
Edge +0.721%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.82%40.84%40.97%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4945.45%42.52%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 59.12%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 40.88%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.18%EV -6.59%E -4.17%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.82%EV +1.79%E +0.721%K +1.20%G +0.022% | 3.5% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV +0.159%E +0.065%K +0.110%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-13 15:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -3.05%E -1.86%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -0.250%E -0.102%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-13 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -0.250%E -0.102%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-13 17:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -0.659%E -0.271%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-13 17:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.18%E -4.58%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.659%E -0.271%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -3.64%E -2.23%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -1.48%E -0.613%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.27%E -0.761%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.89%E -0.785%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.89%E -0.785%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-13 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.00%E -3.77%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.89%E -0.785%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-13 17:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.59%E -4.17%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.89%E -0.785%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.29%E -0.960%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.29%E -0.960%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-13 15:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -1.86%E -1.12%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-13 15:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.11%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.11%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.11%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.59%E -4.17%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.11%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.59%E -4.17%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.11%E -1.31%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-13 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-13 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.00%E -3.77%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.18%E -4.58%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.93%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.64%E -2.23%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.34%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.34%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 17:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.75%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.18%E -4.58%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.75%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -7.18%E -4.58%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -4.75%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.82%E -2.99%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.16%E -2.22%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.27%E -0.761%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-13 17:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.18%E -4.58%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.96%E -5.82%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.97%E -2.60%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.05%E -1.86%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.05%E -1.86%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.23%E -2.61%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 17:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.41%E -3.38%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.59%E -4.17%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.02%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 17:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.45%E -1.49%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.06%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-13 17:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-08-13 17:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 0.4% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 0.8% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-13 15:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-08-13 17:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 2.3% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-08-13 17:35 |