Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-08-12 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 10–5 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 54.83%1.82odd justa
EV -0.217%
Vantagem -0.119%
Kelly -0.264%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.33%54.73%54.83%56.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.741.741.8260.61%57.61%57.47%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 45.17%2.21odd justa
EV -0.617%
Vantagem -0.280%
Kelly -0.514%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%45.27%45.17%46.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.19%47.17%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 54.83%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 45.17%. Para New York Yankees (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.824. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.820, com valor esperado de -0.217%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -0.217%E -0.119%K -0.264%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -4.23%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.86%E -1.04%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -0.617%E -0.280%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-12 23:10
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.97%E -0.909%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.41%E -1.35%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.04%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 23:09
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.617%E -0.280%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 22:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.617%E -0.280%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 21:40
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.617%E -0.280%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 23:09
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.07%E -0.488%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-12 22:25
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 23:09
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.94%E -3.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:59
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.96%E -1.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.51%E -1.99%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 23:09
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 23:00
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:44
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.75%E -4.33%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 23:09
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.65%E -4.83%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 22:53
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.65%E -4.83%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 23:09
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.05%E -2.32%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.65%E -4.83%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.617%E -0.280%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.617%E -0.280%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 22:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 22:30
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 22:58
NordicBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.59%E -2.67%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 23:08
Betsson🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.59%E -2.67%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 23:08
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.39%E -3.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.60%E -2.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.65%E -4.83%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 23:09
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.23%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.23%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 23:05
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.15%E -2.98%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.70%E -3.31%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.97%E -0.909%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.70%E -3.31%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.97%E -0.909%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.70%E -3.31%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.23%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:22
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:55
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:54
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:55
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 22:54
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 22:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.25%E -3.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 22:55
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.42%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 23:10
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 23:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.80%E -4.00%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.65%E -4.83%K -9.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 23:09
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.34%E -4.35%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.23%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.23%E -2.00%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 22:54
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.44%E -5.05%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.88%E -1.34%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 23:08
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.04%E -2.90%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-12 22:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-08-12 23:04
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-08-12 23:10
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-12 23:10
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-12 23:10
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-08-12 23:10
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-08-12 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-08-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-08-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-08-12 23:10
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%3.3%2026-08-12 23:10